Why do we need more than one horizon for the bioeconomy?
What does horizon scanning do for the bioeconomy?
Stock exchanges go up and down, and the economy and society at large face multiple uncertainties. In geopolitical turmoil, resilience and competitiveness are used as keywords for strategic thinking in Europe – emphasis on green shift to clean industrial transition, security investments and resource self-sufficiency. But did we foresee this coming? After all, in hindsight, very few things come as a total surprise.
What is horizon scanning and its role in the bioeconomy?
According to the World Economic Forum’s Global Risks Report (2025), extreme weather events, misinformation and disinformation, biodiversity loss, and ecosystem collapse were among the highest-severity risks in the short and long term. Similar risks were found in the Canadian Policy Horizons report (2024) for the highest–likelihood, highest–impact disruptions to tackle nationally. But how do we deal with all those issues?
